Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Doha • Hard • Feb 11, 2026 • 5:15 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Elena Rybakina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Qinwen Zheng
62% · 8–5 on hard
71% · 10–4 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,243 points across 31 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,243 points across 31 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 64% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 46% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,339 points across 85 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,339 points across 85 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.5 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Qinwen Zheng and Elena Rybakina are set to meet at the WTA Doha on February 11, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Zheng enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Rybakina has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 3–1 over Zheng, including a win in their most recent meeting.