Varvara Gracheva vs Maria Sakkari · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Doha • Hard • Feb 11, 2026 • 10:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Maria Sakkari
Key insights
Player performance profile
Varvara Gracheva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,422 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,422 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 82% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Maria Sakkari
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,267 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,267 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Varvara Gracheva and Maria Sakkari are set to meet at the WTA Doha on February 11, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Gracheva enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Sakkari has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Sakkari leads 3–1 over Gracheva, including a win in their most recent meeting.