Niels McDonald vs James Story · Match odds & ELO prediction
M15 Oberhaching • Hard • Feb 10, 2026 • 11:30 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Niels McDonald
Key insights
Player performance profile
Niels McDonald
0% · 0–5 on hard
62% · 8–5 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
James Story
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Niels McDonald and James Story are set to meet at the M15 Oberhaching on February 10, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. McDonald enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Story has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Story entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, McDonald leads 1–0 over Story, including a win in their most recent meeting.