Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jelena Ostapenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Doha • Hard • Feb 10, 2026 • 12:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jelena Ostapenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ekaterina Alexandrova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,450 points across 81 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,450 points across 81 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.3 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jelena Ostapenko
53% · 9–8 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,482 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,482 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 34% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 75% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Jelena Ostapenko are set to meet at the WTA Doha on February 10, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Alexandrova enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Ostapenko has posted a 9–8 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Alexandrova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ostapenko leads 5–2 over Alexandrova, including a win in their most recent meeting.