Daria Kasatkina vs Elise Mertens · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Doha • Hard • Feb 10, 2026 • 10:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Daria Kasatkina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daria Kasatkina
44% · 4–5 on hard
71% · 5–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,499 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,499 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elise Mertens
65% · 11–6 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,628 points across 70 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,628 points across 70 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.4 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 25% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daria Kasatkina and Elise Mertens are set to meet at the WTA Doha on February 10, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Kasatkina enters with a 4–5 record on hard courts in 2026, while Mertens has posted a 11–6 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mertens entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kasatkina leads 5–1 over Mertens, including a win in their most recent meeting.