Rafael Jodar vs Murphy Cassone · Match odds & ELO prediction
Dallas • Hard • Feb 8, 2026 • 8:50 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Rafael Jodar
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rafael Jodar
86% · 6–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,490 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,490 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 90% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Murphy Cassone
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,806 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,806 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rafael Jodar and Murphy Cassone are set to meet at the Dallas on February 8, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Jodar enters with a 6–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Cassone has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Jodar entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Jodar leads 2–0 over Cassone, including a win in their most recent meeting.