Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Bublik · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rotterdam • Hard • Feb 11, 2026 • 1:40 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alexander Bublik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hubert Hurkacz
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,512 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,512 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.2 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,534 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,534 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hubert Hurkacz and Alexander Bublik are set to meet at the Rotterdam on February 11, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Hurkacz enters with a 4–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bublik has posted a 4–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bublik entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Hurkacz leads 6–1 over Bublik.