Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Bublik · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rotterdam • Hard • Feb 11, 2026 • 1:40 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alexander Bublik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hubert Hurkacz
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,159 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,159 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.2 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.8 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,368 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,368 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hubert Hurkacz and Alexander Bublik are set to meet at the Rotterdam on February 11, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Hurkacz enters with a 4–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bublik has posted a 4–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Hurkacz entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Hurkacz leads 6–1 over Bublik.