Blake Ellis vs James McCabe · Match odds & ELO prediction
Brisbane • Hard • Feb 6, 2026 • 7:05 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Blake Ellis
Key insights
Player performance profile
Blake Ellis
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~183 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~183 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 76% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
James McCabe
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,586 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,586 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 33% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Blake Ellis and James McCabe are set to meet at the Brisbane on February 6, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Ellis enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while McCabe has posted a 3–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Ellis leads 2–1 over McCabe, including a win in their most recent meeting.