Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobolli · Match odds & ELO prediction
Montpellier • Hard • Feb 5, 2026 • 3:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Luca Nardi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Luca Nardi
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,000 points across 40 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.3 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 64% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Flavio Cobolli
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,175 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,175 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 26% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Luca Nardi and Flavio Cobolli are set to meet at the Montpellier on February 5, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Nardi enters with a 0–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Cobolli has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cobolli entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nardi leads 3–1 over Cobolli, including a win in their most recent meeting.