Adam Walton vs Naoki Nakagawa · Match odds & ELO prediction
Brisbane • Hard • Feb 3, 2026 • 2:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Naoki Nakagawa
Key insights
Player performance profile
Adam Walton
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,669 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,669 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.0 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 25% | 7% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Naoki Nakagawa
42% · 15–21 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Adam Walton and Naoki Nakagawa are set to meet at the Brisbane on February 3, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Walton enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Nakagawa has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nakagawa entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nakagawa leads 2–0 over Walton, including a win in their most recent meeting.