Adam Walton vs Naoki Nakagawa · Match odds & ELO prediction
Brisbane • Hard • Feb 3, 2026 • 2:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Naoki Nakagawa
Key insights
Player performance profile
Adam Walton
55% · 17–14 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,515 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,515 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.1 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 24% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Naoki Nakagawa
42% · 15–21 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Adam Walton and Naoki Nakagawa are set to meet at the Brisbane on February 3, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Walton enters with a 17–14 record on hard courts in 2026, while Nakagawa has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nakagawa entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nakagawa leads 2–0 over Walton, including a win in their most recent meeting.