Donna Vekic vs Mariia Tkacheva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Manila • Hard • Jan 28, 2026 • 6:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Donna Vekic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Donna Vekic
47% · 7–8 on hard
73% · 8–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,608 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,608 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.4 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mariia Tkacheva
62% · 21–13 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
9 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~100 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~100 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Donna Vekic and Mariia Tkacheva are set to meet at the Manila on January 28, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Vekic enters with a 7–8 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tkacheva has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Vekic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Vekic leads 1–0 over Tkacheva, including a win in their most recent meeting.