Alexis Galarneau vs August Holmgren · Match odds & ELO prediction
Oeiras 2 • Clay • Jan 29, 2026 • 1:40 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Alexis Galarneau
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexis Galarneau
61% · 19–12 on hard
50% · 1–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,831 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,831 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
August Holmgren
50% · 12–12 on hard
100% · 1–0 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,370 points across 18 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,370 points across 18 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.0 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.4 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexis Galarneau and August Holmgren are set to meet at the Oeiras 2 on January 29, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Galarneau enters with a 1–1 record on clay courts in 2026, while Holmgren has posted a 1–0 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Holmgren leads 2–1 over Galarneau, including a win in their most recent meeting.