Alex Molcan vs Luca van Assche · Match odds & ELO prediction
Quimper • Hard • Jan 29, 2026 • 10:40 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Luca van Assche
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex Molcan
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,856 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,856 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.9 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 9% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luca van Assche
75% · 18–6 on hard
50% · 5–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,637 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,637 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex Molcan and Luca van Assche are set to meet at the Quimper on January 29, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Molcan enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Assche has posted a 18–6 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Assche entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Assche leads 2–1 over Molcan, including a win in their most recent meeting.