Sofia Costoulas vs Yexin Ma · Match odds & ELO prediction
Manila • Hard • Jan 28, 2026 • 3:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Sofia Costoulas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sofia Costoulas
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~901 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~901 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -9.5 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Yexin Ma
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~270 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~270 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 80% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sofia Costoulas and Yexin Ma are set to meet at the Manila on January 28, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Costoulas enters with a 4–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Ma has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Costoulas leads 2–0 over Ma, including a win in their most recent meeting.