Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 29, 2026 • 8:45 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Aryna Sabalenka
Key insights
Player performance profile
Aryna Sabalenka
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,626 points across 90 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,626 points across 90 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.9 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.7 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 83% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elina Svitolina
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,571 points across 68 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,571 points across 68 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 88% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.1 | 73% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 29, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Sabalenka enters with a 5–0 record on hard courts in 2026, while Svitolina has posted a 5–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sabalenka entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sabalenka leads 5–0 over Svitolina, including a win in their most recent meeting.