Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 28, 2026 • 2:40 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jessica Pegula
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jessica Pegula
83% · 19–4 on hard
86% · 6–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,589 points across 93 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,589 points across 93 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.4 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 75% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Amanda Anisimova
65% · 11–6 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,739 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,739 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.1 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 31% | 11% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jessica Pegula and Amanda Anisimova are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 28, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Pegula enters with a 19–4 record on hard courts in 2026, while Anisimova has posted a 11–6 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Pegula, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Pegula leads 5–1 over Anisimova, including a win in their most recent meeting.