BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Henrique Rocha vs Alejandro Moro Canas · Match odds & ELO prediction

Oeiras 2 • Clay • Jan 26, 2026 • 2:20 PM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Alejandro Moro Canas

Key insights

Player performance profile

Henrique Rocha

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,480 points across 24 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.565% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
-0.477% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.113% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
46%36% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Alejandro Moro Canas

HARD

61% · 2214 on hard

CLAY

50% · 1919 on clay

GRASSSmall sample

0% · 01 on grass

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,068 points across 8 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.420% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.320% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+3.577% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Henrique Rocha and Alejandro Moro Canas are set to meet at the Oeiras 2 on January 26, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Rocha enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Canas has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rocha, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Canas leads 4–0 over Rocha, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Rocha and Canas alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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