BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Tatjana Maria vs Leolia Jeanjean · Match odds & ELO prediction

Manila • Hard • Jan 27, 2026 • 9:40 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Tatjana Maria

Key insights

Player performance profile

Tatjana Maria

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,553 points across 54 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.128% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.011% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-6.98% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%20% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Leolia Jeanjean

HARDSmall sample

0% · 02 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,903 points across 40 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.756% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.913% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+6.189% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
71%89% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Tatjana Maria and Leolia Jeanjean are set to meet at the Manila on January 27, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Maria enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Jeanjean has posted a 0–2 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Maria leads 4–0 over Jeanjean, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Maria and Jeanjean have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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