Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 25, 2026 • 6:15 AM
Final score
3 - 0
Winner Alexander Zverev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,977 points across 93 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,977 points across 93 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 85% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Francisco Cerundolo
59% · 16–11 on hard
66% · 21–11 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,283 points across 73 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,283 points across 73 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 28% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.1 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 42% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Zverev and Francisco Cerundolo are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 25, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Zverev enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Cerundolo has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zverev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zverev leads 4–3 over Cerundolo, including a win in their most recent meeting.