Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruud · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 24, 2026 • 10:25 AM
Final score
1 - 3
Winner Casper Ruud
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marin Cilic
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,894 points across 32 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,894 points across 32 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.4 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 27% | 8% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Casper Ruud
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,050 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,050 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 77% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.7 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 82% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marin Cilic and Casper Ruud are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 24, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Cilic enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Ruud has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ruud entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ruud leads 4–0 over Cilic, including a win in their most recent meeting.