Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 23, 2026 • 8:25 AM
Final score
3 - 1
Winner Alexander Zverev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~16,007 points across 101 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~16,007 points across 101 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Cameron Norrie
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,567 points across 84 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,567 points across 84 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Zverev and Cameron Norrie are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 23, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Zverev enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Norrie has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zverev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zverev leads 6–0 over Norrie, including a win in their most recent meeting.