Coco Gauff vs Hailey Baptiste · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 23, 2026 • 4:50 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Coco Gauff
Key insights
Player performance profile
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
65%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,833 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,833 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.5 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 78% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hailey Baptiste
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,293 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,293 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 81% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 36% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Coco Gauff and Hailey Baptiste are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 23, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Gauff enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Baptiste has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gauff entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gauff leads 1–0 over Baptiste, including a win in their most recent meeting.