BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Victoria Mboko vs Caty McNally · Match odds & ELO prediction

WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 21, 2026 • 2:30 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Victoria Mboko

Key insights

Player performance profile

Victoria Mboko

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,160 points across 62 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.190% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.747% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+3.876% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
63%76% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Caty McNally

HARD

50% · 88 on hard

CLAY

57% · 43 on clay

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,172 points across 43 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.833% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.158% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.280% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%43% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Victoria Mboko and Caty McNally are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Mboko enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while McNally has posted a 8–8 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for McNally entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, McNally leads 2–1 over Mboko, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Mboko, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while McNally has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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