Francisco Cerundolo vs Damir Dzumhur · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 21, 2026 • 12:10 AM
Final score
3 - 0
Winner Francisco Cerundolo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Francisco Cerundolo
59% · 16–11 on hard
66% · 21–11 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,734 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,734 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.4 | 36% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 25% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Damir Dzumhur
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,864 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,864 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 89% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.2 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Francisco Cerundolo and Damir Dzumhur are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Cerundolo enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Dzumhur has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cerundolo entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Cerundolo leads 3–0 over Dzumhur, including a win in their most recent meeting.