August Holmgren vs Chris Rodesch · Match odds & ELO prediction
Oeiras • Clay • Jan 20, 2026 • 11:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Chris Rodesch
Key insights
Player performance profile
August Holmgren
50% · 12–12 on hard
100% · 1–0 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,370 points across 18 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,370 points across 18 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.0 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.4 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Chris Rodesch
79% · 15–4 on hard
20% · 1–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,299 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,299 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
August Holmgren and Chris Rodesch are set to meet at the Oeiras on January 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Holmgren enters with a 1–0 record on clay courts in 2026, while Rodesch has posted a 1–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rodesch entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rodesch leads 2–0 over Holmgren, including a win in their most recent meeting.