Michael Geerts vs Matteo Martineau · Match odds & ELO prediction
Soma Bay 2 • Hard • Jan 20, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Michael Geerts
Key insights
Player performance profile
Michael Geerts
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Matteo Martineau
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~652 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~652 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Michael Geerts and Matteo Martineau are set to meet at the Soma Bay 2 on January 20, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Geerts enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Martineau has posted a 3–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Geerts entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.