Andrea Collarini vs Pablo Varillas Juan · Match odds & ELO prediction
Buenos Aires • Clay • Jan 16, 2026 • 2:15 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Andrea Collarini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Andrea Collarini
25% · 1–3 on hard
58% · 40–29 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~990 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~990 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.6 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Pablo Varillas Juan
0% · 0–1 on hard
62% · 31–19 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~347 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~347 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 90% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Andrea Collarini and Pablo Varillas Juan are set to meet at the Buenos Aires on January 16, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Collarini enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Juan has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Juan entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 4 wins.