Rei Sakamoto vs Rafael Jodar · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 20, 2026 • 5:15 AM
Final score
2 - 3
Winner Rafael Jodar
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rei Sakamoto
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,552 points across 18 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,552 points across 18 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 66% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Rafael Jodar
86% · 6–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,457 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,457 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rei Sakamoto and Rafael Jodar are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 20, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Sakamoto enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Jodar has posted a 6–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Jodar entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Jodar leads 2–0 over Sakamoto, including a win in their most recent meeting.