Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Adelaide • Hard • Jan 15, 2026 • 4:05 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Victoria Mboko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Victoria Mboko
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,160 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,160 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 90% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Madison Keys
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,531 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,531 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.4 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Victoria Mboko and Madison Keys are set to meet at the WTA Adelaide on January 15, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Mboko enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Keys has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Keys entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.