Tereza Valentova vs Madison Keys · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Adelaide • Hard • Jan 14, 2026 • 2:35 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Madison Keys
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tereza Valentova
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,892 points across 28 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,892 points across 28 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.3 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Madison Keys
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,502 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,502 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 88% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 51% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 74% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tereza Valentova and Madison Keys are set to meet at the WTA Adelaide on January 14, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Valentova enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Keys has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Valentova, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Keys leads 1–0 over Valentova, including a win in their most recent meeting.