Jenson Brooksby vs Sebastian Baez · Match odds & ELO prediction
Auckland • Hard • Jan 14, 2026 • 12:25 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Sebastian Baez
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jenson Brooksby
36% · 4–7 on hard
0% · 0–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,912 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,912 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.0 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 48% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sebastian Baez
71% · 10–4 on hard
50% · 7–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,924 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,924 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 75% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jenson Brooksby and Sebastian Baez are set to meet at the Auckland on January 14, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Brooksby enters with a 4–7 record on hard courts in 2026, while Baez has posted a 10–4 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Brooksby entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Baez leads 2–0 over Brooksby, including a win in their most recent meeting.