Sloane Stephens vs Olivia Gadecki · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 14, 2026 • 12:05 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Sloane Stephens
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sloane Stephens
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,366 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,366 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.6 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 52% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Olivia Gadecki
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,582 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,582 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sloane Stephens and Olivia Gadecki are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 14, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Stephens enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Gadecki has posted a 3–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Stephens entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Stephens leads 2–1 over Gadecki, including a win in their most recent meeting.