Diana Shnaider vs Leylah Fernandez · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Adelaide • Hard • Jan 13, 2026 • 12:35 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Diana Shnaider
Key insights
Player performance profile
Diana Shnaider
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,928 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,928 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 74% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Leylah Fernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,605 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,605 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 47% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Diana Shnaider and Leylah Fernandez are set to meet at the WTA Adelaide on January 13, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Shnaider enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Fernandez has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fernandez entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Shnaider leads 3–2 over Fernandez, including a win in their most recent meeting.