Cameron Norrie vs Hugo Gaston · Match odds & ELO prediction
Auckland • Hard • Jan 12, 2026 • 5:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Cameron Norrie
Key insights
Player performance profile
Cameron Norrie
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,880 points across 80 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,880 points across 80 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 51% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hugo Gaston
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,090 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,090 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.1 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 14% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Cameron Norrie and Hugo Gaston are set to meet at the Auckland on January 12, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Norrie enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Gaston has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Norrie leads 3–0 over Gaston, including a win in their most recent meeting.