Match analytics

Paula Badosa vs Marie Bouzkova · Match odds & ELO prediction

WTA Adelaide • Hard • Jan 12, 2026 • 3:10 AM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Marie Bouzkova

Key insights

Player performance profile

Paula Badosa

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

47%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,514 points across 29 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.592% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.026% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.260% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
63%79% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Marie Bouzkova

HARDSmall sample

50% · 22 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,478 points across 52 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.143% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
2.293% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+6.690% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
62%77% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Paula Badosa and Marie Bouzkova are set to meet at the WTA Adelaide on January 12, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Badosa enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bouzkova has posted a 2–2 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Badosa entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Badosa leads 3–1 over Bouzkova.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Badosa and Bouzkova alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.