Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Ksenia Efremova · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 12, 2026 • 4:40 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Key insights
Player performance profile
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,934 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,934 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.8 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 90% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ksenia Efremova
60% · 9–6 on hard
33% · 4–8 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~237 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~237 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.0 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.9 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Ksenia Efremova are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 12, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Sasnovich enters with a 4–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Efremova has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sasnovich entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sasnovich leads 1–0 over Efremova, including a win in their most recent meeting.