Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Vilius Gaubas · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 13, 2026 • 4:00 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Vilius Gaubas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~632 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~632 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Vilius Gaubas
33% · 3–6 on hard
65% · 36–19 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,268 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,268 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.5 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 74% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran and Vilius Gaubas are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 13, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Alboran enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Gaubas has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Alboran entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gaubas leads 2–0 over Alboran, including a win in their most recent meeting.