Oliver Crawford vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 12, 2026 • 7:05 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Daniel Merida Aguilar
Key insights
Player performance profile
Oliver Crawford
50% · 7–7 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~830 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~830 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
67% · 12–6 on hard
76% · 13–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,216 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,216 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 90% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.2 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Oliver Crawford and Daniel Merida Aguilar are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 12, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Crawford enters with a 7–7 record on hard courts in 2026, while Aguilar has posted a 12–6 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Aguilar, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Aguilar leads 3–0 over Crawford, including a win in their most recent meeting.