Oliver Crawford vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 12, 2026 • 7:05 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Daniel Merida Aguilar
Key insights
Player performance profile
Oliver Crawford
73% · 51–19 on hard
69% · 9–4 on clay
58% · 7–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~830 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~830 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
63% · 15–9 on hard
69% · 35–16 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~708 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~708 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Oliver Crawford and Daniel Merida Aguilar are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 12, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Crawford enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Aguilar has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Aguilar entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Aguilar leads 3–0 over Crawford, including a win in their most recent meeting.