Tristan Boyer vs Alex Barrena · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 12, 2026 • 3:45 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Tristan Boyer
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tristan Boyer
44% · 4–5 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,852 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,852 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 46% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.3 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 69% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex Barrena
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~510 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~510 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.3 | 75% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tristan Boyer and Alex Barrena are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 12, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Boyer enters with a 4–5 record on hard courts in 2026, while Barrena has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.