Iga Swiatek vs Belinda Bencic · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA United Cup • Hard • Jan 11, 2026 • 6:35 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Belinda Bencic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,028 points across 88 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,028 points across 88 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Belinda Bencic
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,135 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,135 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 75% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.9 | 93% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 76% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Iga Swiatek and Belinda Bencic are set to meet at the WTA United Cup on January 11, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Swiatek enters with a 3–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bencic has posted a 5–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Swiatek, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 4–2 over Bencic.