Maya Joint vs Sofia Kenin · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Adelaide • Hard • Jan 13, 2026 • 4:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Maya Joint
Key insights
Player performance profile
Maya Joint
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
40%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,577 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,577 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 85% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 85% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 74% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sofia Kenin
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,018 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,018 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.1 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Maya Joint and Sofia Kenin are set to meet at the WTA Adelaide on January 13, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Joint enters with a 0–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Kenin has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Joint leads 3–0 over Kenin, including a win in their most recent meeting.