Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Korda · Match odds & ELO prediction
Adelaide • Hard • Jan 12, 2026 • 10:30 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Thanasi Kokkinakis
Key insights
Player performance profile
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Games won (last 10)
57%
5 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,004 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,004 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.6 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sebastian Korda
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
63%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,004 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,004 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.4 | 88% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.6 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Thanasi Kokkinakis and Sebastian Korda are set to meet at the Adelaide on January 12, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Kokkinakis enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Korda has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Korda entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Korda leads 2–1 over Kokkinakis.