Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Brisbane • Hard • Jan 10, 2026 • 5:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Marta Kostyuk
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jessica Pegula
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,919 points across 81 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,919 points across 81 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.9 | 94% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 62% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marta Kostyuk
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,484 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,484 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.9 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 47% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jessica Pegula and Marta Kostyuk are set to meet at the WTA Brisbane on January 10, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Pegula enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Kostyuk has posted a 4–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kostyuk entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Pegula leads 4–2 over Kostyuk.