Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublik · Match odds & ELO prediction
Hong Kong • Hard • Jan 10, 2026 • 10:45 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alexander Bublik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marcos Giron
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,336 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,336 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 43% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,534 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,534 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 81% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 68% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marcos Giron and Alexander Bublik are set to meet at the Hong Kong on January 10, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Giron enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bublik has posted a 4–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bublik entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Giron leads 3–2 over Bublik.