Marek Gengel vs Rio Noguchi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Nonthaburi • Hard • Jan 10, 2026 • 4:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Rio Noguchi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Marek Gengel
83% · 5–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~132 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~132 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.3 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Rio Noguchi
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Marek Gengel and Rio Noguchi are set to meet at the Nonthaburi on January 10, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Gengel enters with a 5–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Noguchi has posted a 5–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Noguchi, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Noguchi leads 2–1 over Gengel, including a win in their most recent meeting.