Match analytics

Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublik · Match odds & ELO prediction

Hong Kong • Hard • Jan 9, 2026 • 10:05 AM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Alexander Bublik

Key insights

Player performance profile

Juncheng Shang

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,254 points across 15 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.882% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.321% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-8.53% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Alexander Bublik

HARDSmall sample

100% · 40 on hard

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,690 points across 64 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.589% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.123% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
+0.049% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%49% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Juncheng Shang and Alexander Bublik are set to meet at the Hong Kong on January 9, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Shang enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bublik has posted a 4–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shang entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Shang and Bublik have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.