Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchova · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Brisbane • Hard • Jan 9, 2026 • 1:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Karolina Muchova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,016 points across 96 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,016 points across 96 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.4 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 74% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karolina Muchova
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,408 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,408 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.3 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 82% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Elena Rybakina and Karolina Muchova are set to meet at the WTA Brisbane on January 9, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Rybakina enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Muchova has posted a 3–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rybakina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 2–1 over Muchova, including a win in their most recent meeting.