Match analytics

Hayato Matsuoka vs Fajing Sun · Match odds & ELO prediction

Nonthaburi • Hard • Jan 6, 2026 • 7:30 AM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Fajing Sun

Key insights

Player performance profile

Hayato Matsuoka

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Fajing Sun

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~463 points across 6 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-5.90% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.57% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.337% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Hayato Matsuoka and Fajing Sun are set to meet at the Nonthaburi on January 6, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Matsuoka enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Sun has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Sun leads 2–0 over Matsuoka, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Matsuoka and Sun alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.