Federico Arnaboldi vs Andrea Guerrieri · Match odds & ELO prediction
Nottingham 3 • Hard • Jan 5, 2026 • 12:00 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Andrea Guerrieri
Key insights
Player performance profile
Federico Arnaboldi
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~859 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~859 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 38% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.7 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrea Guerrieri
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Federico Arnaboldi and Andrea Guerrieri are set to meet at the Nottingham 3 on January 5, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Arnaboldi enters with a 1–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Guerrieri has posted a 3–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Guerrieri entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.