Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Brisbane • Hard • Jan 6, 2026 • 6:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Sorana Cirstea
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sorana Cirstea
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,281 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,281 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 87% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.3 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jelena Ostapenko
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,176 points across 36 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,176 points across 36 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.0 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 27% | 12% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sorana Cirstea and Jelena Ostapenko are set to meet at the WTA Brisbane on January 6, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Cirstea enters with a 4–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Ostapenko has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Cirstea entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.